Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
GRE
27%
30%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
GRE
52%
27%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 3
GRE
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
4 - 1
SCI
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
4 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 0
FLA
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 2
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
FLA
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |