Grêmio vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
FFL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
FFL
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |