Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
11%
24%
65%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAX
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 3
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
46%
25%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAS
1 - 0
ECS
20%
23%
56%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 0
PAS
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
15%
18%
67%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |