Super Copa Gaúcha Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.4%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOI
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 2
GRE
38%
28%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 1
GRE
12%
25%
63%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
COT
61%
23%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
COT
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 1
GRE
12%
25%
63%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
4 - 0
IGR
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
IGR
0 - 1
ECS
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
URS
1 - 0
ECS
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ECS
2 - 0
URS
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |