Grêmio vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CSA
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
BRU
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
BAH
26%
30%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 2
OPE
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAH
33%
29%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |