Grêmio vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
GOD
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
AGP
0 - 0
GRE
31%
26%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TOM
0 - 0
CSA
43%
29%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
CSA
3 - 2
GRE
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 0
CSA
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
CSA
3 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |