Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis

Grêmio Coritiba
85 ELO 78
-8.7% Tilt 0%
152º General ELO ranking 250º
24º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Grêmio
21.5%
Draw
13.8%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.8%
Win probability
Coritiba
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio
-5%
+6%
Coritiba

ELO progression

Grêmio
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2017
CRZ
Cruzeiro
3 - 3
Grêmio
GRE
47%
25%
29%
85 85 0 0
16 Jun. 2017
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 2
Grêmio
GRE
36%
25%
39%
85 80 5 0
13 Jun. 2017
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
67%
21%
12%
85 76 9 0
09 Jun. 2017
CHA
Chapecoense
3 - 6
Grêmio
GRE
35%
26%
39%
85 80 5 0
04 Jun. 2017
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
61%
22%
17%
84 78 6 +1

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2017
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
22%
26%
53%
78 87 9 0
15 Jun. 2017
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
52%
26%
22%
78 76 2 0
11 Jun. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
58%
24%
18%
78 81 3 0
08 Jun. 2017
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
25%
25%
50%
78 85 7 0
03 Jun. 2017
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
47%
28%
26%
77 79 2 +1