Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 3
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 0
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
COT
2 - 2
JUV
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |