Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
22%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
FLA
5 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRB
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
GRE
1 - 3
VAS
52%
28%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
COT
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
COT
2 - 1
POR
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
3 - 0
COT
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 4
COT
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |