Grêmio vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
62%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
SCI
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
ITU
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 2
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |