Grêmio vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
CRZ
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 1
CHA
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |