Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRE
16%
28%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
FER
87%
9%
3%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRE
16%
28%
56%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 1
CAX
87%
11%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
14%
26%
60%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 0
YPI
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |