Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 3
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
46%
25%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
FLA
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 0
CAX
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
URO
0 - 2
CAX
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |