Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.9%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 1
GRE
8%
20%
72%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RMA
1 - 0
GRE
84%
11%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
81%
14%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
CAX
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |