Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 3
GRE
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 1
ISM
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 1
CAX
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |