Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.1%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
ESP
0 - 3
GRE
13%
22%
66%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
SLU
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ECS
0 - 1
GRE
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CAX
3 - 0
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 3
CAX
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAX
3 - 1
SJO
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 0
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |