Grêmio vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
XVD
0 - 1
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 3
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
57%
26%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
PPE
4 - 1
BOT
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |