Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
5 - 0
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 4
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEA
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 1
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |