Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRZ
51%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 3
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
22%
29%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |