Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |