Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
0 - 0
BOT
32%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |