Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis

Grêmio Botafogo
85 ELO 83
5% Tilt -1.7%
152º General ELO ranking 162º
24º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Grêmio
22.2%
Draw
20%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio
-5%
+8%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Grêmio
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2012
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 3
Grêmio
GRE
24%
26%
50%
85 70 15 0
06 Oct. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Cruzeiro
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
85 83 2 0
30 Sep. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
50%
24%
26%
85 85 0 0
27 Sep. 2012
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
33%
27%
40%
85 80 5 0
23 Sep. 2012
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
50%
24%
26%
85 84 1 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2012
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
43%
25%
32%
83 85 2 0
06 Oct. 2012
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
60%
22%
18%
83 87 4 0
30 Sep. 2012
BAH
Bahía
2 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
32%
26%
42%
84 76 8 -1
23 Sep. 2012
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
44%
27%
29%
84 87 3 0
16 Sep. 2012
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
32%
25%
42%
84 75 9 0