Grêmio vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GOD
0 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
PPE
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
AVA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |