Grêmio vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 2
GRE
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 1
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
GOI
28%
29%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
AVA
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 2
COT
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |