Grêmio vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
AVA
60%
21%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 2
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
COR
56%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 3
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 3
ATM
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATP
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
ATM
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |