Grêmio vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
14%
25%
61%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
YPI
2 - 3
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
EQU
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 1
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 2
GVA
66%
23%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |