Paulista A3 Final
Global 1-2
Grêmio Osasco vs Votoraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
XVD
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUD
3 - 0
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUD
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
PEN
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Votoraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 1
OSV
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
VFC
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VFC
2 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
VFC
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VFC
1 - 0
FRA
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |