Grêmio Osasco vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
PFC
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
OSV
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
LEM
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
3 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |