Grêmio Osasco vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
XVD
4 - 1
GRE
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SEP
2 - 2
GRE
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
ECN
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 0
BAN
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRÊ
21%
22%
56%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
AUD
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |