Grêmio Osasco vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
0 - 5
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
OLI
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 5
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
GUA
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 4
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
PRI
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |