Grêmio Osasco vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SEP
2 - 2
GRE
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
FRA
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 4
FEL
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 5
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
FEL
70%
18%
13%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FEL
0 - 0
VFC
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |