Grêmio Osasco vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
2 - 3
GRE
27%
24%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
IND
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
OSV
87%
11%
2%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |