Grêmio Osasco vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 3
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRÊ
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BAT
2 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECN
34%
24%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 0
FEL
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
ECN
33%
24%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRÊ
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 2
BAT
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |