Copa Paulista Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Grêmio Osasco vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
MIR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
AUD
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 3
AUD
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 1
XVD
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 2
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |