Grêmio Osasco vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BER
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
71%
20%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
AAP
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
AAP
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AGU
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |