Maringá vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+223%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
FOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
2 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
TCW
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 2
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCR
0 - 1
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FOZ
0 - 1
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
6 - 1
JTF
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |