Maringá vs Grecal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
NPR
2 - 0
GRE
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
CIN
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CCR
0 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
GEM
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
PRU
0 - 3
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grecal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
JTF
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 2
GRE
81%
14%
6%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 2
PRU
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +8 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOZ
6 - 1
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |