Maringá vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PRU
0 - 2
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
JTF
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PST
0 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
COA
0 - 1
GRE
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
COT
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
CRI
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
42%
28%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |