Maringá vs Apucarana Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POL
0 - 4
GRE
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CCR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
ACP
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ITU
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
APU
0 - 1
IRA
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ACP
3 - 1
APU
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OPE
4 - 0
APU
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
APU
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
APU
2 - 2
GEM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |