Maringá vs Cincão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
CCR
0 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
GEM
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
PRU
0 - 3
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
JTF
1 - 0
GRE
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 4
PAR
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cincão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
CIN
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
NPR
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
JTF
0 - 1
CIN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
GEM
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
CIN
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |