Grêmio Mangaratibense vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Mangaratibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAM
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
GRE
72%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
AME
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MES
1 - 3
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
5 - 2
AME
43%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BON
1 - 0
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
CER
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |