Grêmio U20 vs Marcílio Dias U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ACG
1 - 1
GRE
5%
13%
82%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
PVI
0 - 1
GRE
11%
15%
75%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
CUI
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
IDM
1 - 1
MDI
36%
25%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
MDI
2 - 3
GOI
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TAU
2 - 3
MDI
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |