Grêmio U20 vs Corinthians U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 3
GRE
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
GOI
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
MDI
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ACG
1 - 1
GRE
5%
13%
82%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
30%
23%
48%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ITU
0 - 0
COR
14%
16%
70%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 4
COR
11%
15%
74%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
FFC
0 - 1
COR
11%
14%
75%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
5%
13%
82%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | -3 |