Grêmio Barueri vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
LON
22%
24%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
OPE
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 0
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
LUV
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |