Grêmio Barueri vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
GRÊ
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
COT
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRÊ
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
GRÊ
4 - 2
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 4
GRÊ
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |