Grêmio Barueri vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 0
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
MOG
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
3 - 3
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAB
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
2 - 1
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 2
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
BON
1 - 2
DUQ
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
MAD
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |