Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 3-3
Grêmio B vs Tres Passos AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 1
GRE
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 2
GRE
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GEB
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GEB
0 - 1
GRE
35%
23%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tres Passos AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 1
GRE
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
IPA
2 - 0
ACP
76%
16%
9%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
0 - 1
NOV
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 2
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 1
ACP
76%
17%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |