Grêmio B vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
PEL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 3
GEB
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |