Grêmio B vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
IPA
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IPA
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |