Grêmio B vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 3
GRE
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
RIO
59%
21%
21%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
2 - 0
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECA
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
GEB
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SGA
1 - 1
GEB
39%
27%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
SSR
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 2
ISM
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |