Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 5-5
Grêmio B vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
IPA
4 - 1
GEB
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |